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Higher than expected growth in Melbourne house prices
October 19, 2013
The median price of a house in Melbourne increased by nearly nine per cent in the September quarter in seasonally adjusted terms. REIV CEO Enzo Raimondo said that this quarter’s higher than expected growth shows a very clear increase in demand but warns that this level of growth may not be sustained over the long term.
Melbourne’s house price increased to $595,500 from a revised $547,500 in the June quarter. This means that Melbourne’s median house price is now at a new peak, exceeding the previous peak of $559,000 in December quarter 2010.
“Interest rates remain low and buyers are taking advantage of this with the chances of a further rate cut this year becoming less and less likely. But judging from the rather rapid increase in house prices, affordability pressures could start to act as a counter balance to demand in the next few months, particularly for first home buyers.
“This quarter’s increase was driven by a very strong increase in demand, particularly in August and September. Sustained growth in previous quarters has also instilled further confidence in the property market in Melbourne. The increased demand is supported by a number of positive indicators in the state including population growth, consumer sentiment, clearance rates, and the number of sales.
Victorian consumers recorded an 11.4 per cent increase in sentiment over the quarter, the highest of any state. The average clearance rate this quarter is 14 percentage points higher than this quarter last year. We also recorded a 10 per cent increase in the number of sales this quarter in comparison to last year.
"Suburbs with the strongest growth in median prices this quarter were concentrated in the inner and middle suburbs: Balwyn, Brighton East, Ascot Vale, Balwyn North, and Footscray. This is reflective of the relatively high number of premium sales, particularly million dollar sales, in this quarter.
"Units and apartments recorded similar level of demand to houses with a 4.8 per cent increase in seasonally adjusted terms to $481,500.
“The median house price in regional Victoria was more stable with a 0.8 per cent increase in seasonally adjusted terms to $308,000. However, the key regional centres of Geelong, Ballarat, and Bendigo continue to outperform the broader regional market," he said.
To find out more
September Quarter 2013 Median Prices
* median prices are seasonally adjusted
|City of Greater Geelong
|City of Greater Bendigo
|City of Ballarat
^ median prices are based on original series and 12 months ending
Click here to find out what a median is, what seasonal adjustment is and why the REIV uses them.
Click here for September Quarter 2013 medians in original and trend terms.
Median prices over time
This graph shows median house prices in Melbourne over the past decade in seasonally adjusted, original and trend terms.